Race 7B

lake-virginia-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Sara Menesale 6.7% 8.4% 8.4% 8.1% 10.1% 9.7% 10.0% 10.8% 9.1% 8.1% 6.1% 3.5% 1.3%
Matthew King 23.5% 17.8% 16.7% 13.1% 10.4% 8.1% 4.8% 3.0% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Milo Miller 9.8% 11.6% 11.9% 12.2% 11.2% 11.9% 9.4% 7.4% 5.7% 4.7% 2.8% 1.2% 0.1%
Hank Seum 20.7% 17.7% 16.2% 14.5% 10.6% 7.6% 5.9% 2.9% 2.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Beatriz Newland 4.0% 4.2% 4.9% 5.1% 6.8% 7.8% 8.5% 9.0% 10.7% 11.1% 10.9% 10.7% 6.6%
Nathan Long 10.5% 10.2% 10.3% 11.3% 10.4% 10.8% 10.4% 9.5% 6.9% 5.6% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4%
Josh Becher 7.1% 8.2% 8.1% 9.0% 10.5% 10.9% 11.1% 11.6% 7.9% 7.2% 4.8% 2.4% 1.1%
Zi Burns 2.8% 3.4% 3.5% 4.0% 4.7% 4.8% 6.2% 8.5% 10.1% 11.8% 11.8% 15.8% 12.8%
Ella Lansford 4.0% 3.1% 4.5% 5.7% 7.1% 5.8% 7.4% 8.7% 11.1% 11.4% 10.8% 12.2% 8.1%
Luke Justin 4.7% 7.1% 6.5% 6.3% 8.5% 9.0% 9.5% 10.0% 9.2% 9.9% 10.1% 6.0% 3.1%
Zechariah Frantz 2.5% 3.3% 3.9% 4.1% 4.0% 4.7% 6.2% 6.9% 9.0% 9.6% 12.4% 16.1% 17.3%
Matthew Sexton 2.6% 3.5% 3.0% 4.1% 3.4% 5.0% 6.4% 6.6% 9.7% 10.7% 13.8% 14.8% 16.4%
Annslee Maloy 1.2% 1.6% 2.2% 2.5% 2.4% 4.0% 4.1% 5.1% 7.0% 8.1% 13.1% 16.0% 32.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.