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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+1.83vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.70+0.30vs Predicted
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3Worcester Polytechnic Institute1.71+0.65vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.20-1.06vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut0.01+0.83vs Predicted
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6McGill University1.06-1.46vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.21-1.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.83Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.2%1st Place
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2.3Tufts University2.700.3%1st Place
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3.65Worcester Polytechnic Institute1.710.1%1st Place
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2.94Bowdoin College2.200.2%1st Place
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5.83University of Connecticut0.010.0%1st Place
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4.54McGill University1.060.1%1st Place
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5.91Bates College-0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Graef | 23.4% | 23.2% | 21.3% | 16.6% | 10.7% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Charles Proctor | 33.4% | 29.7% | 19.6% | 10.2% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Mike Brendlinger | 12.2% | 12.7% | 19.6% | 24.6% | 18.1% | 10.0% | 2.8% |
| Emily McNeil | 21.0% | 21.2% | 21.9% | 18.9% | 13.2% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Eleanor Leonard | 1.5% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 13.5% | 32.4% | 39.5% |
| Maxime Fecteau | 6.3% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 17.2% | 28.4% | 21.3% | 9.1% |
| Ryan Lovering | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 10.8% | 27.3% | 47.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.