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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Lake Forest College3.06+0.74vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.46+1.96vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.24+1.18vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan1.44-0.25vs Predicted
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5Marquette University1.11-0.69vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois0.16-0.97vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota0.08-1.79vs Predicted
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9University of Chicago-1.05-1.18vs Predicted
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10Western Michigan University-0.43-2.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.74Lake Forest College3.060.6%1st Place
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3.96University of Wisconsin1.460.1%1st Place
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4.18Northwestern University1.240.1%1st Place
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3.75University of Michigan1.440.1%1st Place
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4.31Marquette University1.110.1%1st Place
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6.03University of Illinois0.160.0%1st Place
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6.21University of Minnesota0.080.0%1st Place
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7.82University of Chicago-1.050.0%1st Place
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7.01Western Michigan University-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander O'Grady | 55.7% | 24.9% | 11.6% | 5.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Korbin Kierstead | 7.6% | 16.8% | 18.1% | 20.7% | 16.2% | 11.4% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Noah Rosenthal | 8.4% | 14.4% | 15.7% | 16.1% | 19.3% | 14.2% | 8.4% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Colton Gerber | 11.5% | 17.4% | 18.4% | 18.8% | 15.7% | 10.7% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Clulo | 8.5% | 13.7% | 17.9% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 10.0% | 4.9% | 1.7% |
| Jacob Dannhausen-Brun | 3.1% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 15.8% | 21.3% | 18.7% | 9.1% |
| Michael Valverde | 2.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 16.6% | 22.6% | 19.5% | 10.8% |
| Stephane Vinet | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 19.6% | 53.4% |
| Austin Lee | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 17.2% | 29.9% | 23.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.