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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Alexander O'Grady 55.9% 25.5% 11.1% 5.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Korbin Kierstead 8.4% 16.5% 19.0% 17.8% 15.9% 12.4% 7.1% 2.2% 0.7%
Noah Rosenthal 7.8% 15.0% 16.7% 17.1% 14.9% 14.7% 10.3% 2.8% 0.7%
Ryan Clulo 8.2% 14.0% 14.2% 16.5% 18.7% 13.8% 9.6% 3.8% 1.2%
Jacob Dannhausen-Brun 3.3% 4.3% 8.7% 9.6% 11.8% 14.4% 20.1% 18.1% 9.7%
Colton Gerber 10.8% 15.4% 19.5% 18.5% 17.1% 10.8% 5.3% 2.1% 0.5%
Austin Lee 1.4% 3.3% 2.9% 4.0% 6.8% 11.3% 15.9% 31.0% 23.4%
Stephane Vinet 1.1% 1.3% 2.2% 3.3% 3.3% 5.9% 11.2% 18.1% 53.6%
Michael Valverde 3.1% 4.7% 5.7% 7.6% 10.4% 16.2% 20.2% 21.9% 10.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.