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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Lake Forest College3.06+0.72vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.46+1.94vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.24+1.19vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan1.44-0.28vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago-1.05+1.74vs Predicted
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7Marquette University1.11-2.67vs Predicted
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8University of Illinois0.16-1.90vs Predicted
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9University of Minnesota0.08-2.78vs Predicted
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10Western Michigan University-0.43-2.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.72Lake Forest College3.060.6%1st Place
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3.94University of Wisconsin1.460.1%1st Place
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4.19Northwestern University1.240.1%1st Place
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3.72University of Michigan1.440.1%1st Place
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7.74University of Chicago-1.050.0%1st Place
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4.33Marquette University1.110.1%1st Place
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6.1University of Illinois0.160.0%1st Place
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6.22University of Minnesota0.080.0%1st Place
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7.04Western Michigan University-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander O'Grady | 56.3% | 24.8% | 12.1% | 4.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Korbin Kierstead | 8.4% | 16.2% | 19.6% | 18.7% | 16.5% | 10.9% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Noah Rosenthal | 8.2% | 15.2% | 15.5% | 16.0% | 17.5% | 15.0% | 8.8% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Colton Gerber | 11.3% | 18.4% | 18.2% | 19.3% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Stephane Vinet | 0.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 20.2% | 50.3% |
| Ryan Clulo | 7.5% | 11.8% | 16.4% | 17.2% | 18.8% | 13.7% | 9.9% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Jacob Dannhausen-Brun | 2.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 16.1% | 23.3% | 18.4% | 9.4% |
| Michael Valverde | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 20.9% | 21.4% | 11.9% |
| Austin Lee | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 11.5% | 15.7% | 28.1% | 26.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.