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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Alexander O'Grady 56.3% 24.8% 12.1% 4.9% 1.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Korbin Kierstead 8.4% 16.2% 19.6% 18.7% 16.5% 10.9% 6.4% 3.0% 0.3%
Noah Rosenthal 8.2% 15.2% 15.5% 16.0% 17.5% 15.0% 8.8% 3.3% 0.5%
Colton Gerber 11.3% 18.4% 18.2% 19.3% 14.2% 11.4% 5.0% 1.8% 0.4%
Stephane Vinet 0.4% 2.0% 1.7% 3.8% 4.6% 7.2% 9.8% 20.2% 50.3%
Ryan Clulo 7.5% 11.8% 16.4% 17.2% 18.8% 13.7% 9.9% 3.8% 0.9%
Jacob Dannhausen-Brun 2.9% 4.8% 6.1% 7.5% 11.5% 16.1% 23.3% 18.4% 9.4%
Michael Valverde 3.0% 3.9% 6.6% 8.3% 10.5% 13.5% 20.9% 21.4% 11.9%
Austin Lee 2.0% 2.9% 3.8% 4.3% 5.4% 11.5% 15.7% 28.1% 26.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.