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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University1.11+3.42vs Predicted
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2Lake Forest College3.06-0.19vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.46+0.82vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago-1.05+2.74vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University1.24-1.90vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan1.44-3.18vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-0.43-0.92vs Predicted
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9University of Minnesota0.08-2.81vs Predicted
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10University of Illinois0.16-3.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.42Marquette University1.110.1%1st Place
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1.81Lake Forest College3.060.5%1st Place
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3.82University of Wisconsin1.460.1%1st Place
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7.74University of Chicago-1.050.0%1st Place
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4.1Northwestern University1.240.1%1st Place
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3.82University of Michigan1.440.1%1st Place
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7.08Western Michigan University-0.430.0%1st Place
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6.19University of Minnesota0.080.0%1st Place
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6.02University of Illinois0.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Clulo | 8.3% | 10.4% | 15.0% | 18.6% | 16.9% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Alexander O'Grady | 51.1% | 28.0% | 12.7% | 6.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Korbin Kierstead | 11.2% | 15.6% | 19.9% | 16.9% | 17.4% | 10.4% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Stephane Vinet | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 21.0% | 48.9% |
| Noah Rosenthal | 9.2% | 15.9% | 17.3% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 12.9% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Colton Gerber | 10.9% | 16.2% | 18.7% | 19.8% | 15.1% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Austin Lee | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 15.0% | 28.8% | 26.6% |
| Michael Valverde | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 17.4% | 18.6% | 21.2% | 11.4% |
| Jacob Dannhausen-Brun | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 16.6% | 22.4% | 16.6% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.