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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.46+2.80vs Predicted
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2Lake Forest College3.06-0.18vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan1.44+0.86vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.24+0.09vs Predicted
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5Marquette University1.11-0.70vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois0.16+0.05vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota0.08-0.77vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-0.43-1.98vs Predicted
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10University of Chicago-1.05-2.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.8University of Wisconsin1.460.1%1st Place
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1.82Lake Forest College3.060.5%1st Place
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3.86University of Michigan1.440.1%1st Place
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4.09Northwestern University1.240.1%1st Place
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4.3Marquette University1.110.1%1st Place
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6.05University of Illinois0.160.0%1st Place
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6.23University of Minnesota0.080.0%1st Place
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7.02Western Michigan University-0.430.0%1st Place
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7.83University of Chicago-1.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Korbin Kierstead | 11.4% | 15.8% | 20.4% | 17.5% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexander O'Grady | 51.0% | 27.5% | 13.2% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colton Gerber | 10.9% | 15.9% | 18.6% | 17.8% | 15.9% | 12.1% | 6.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Noah Rosenthal | 9.6% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 20.5% | 17.8% | 12.1% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Clulo | 8.0% | 13.9% | 17.0% | 15.9% | 15.2% | 14.3% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 1.3% |
| Jacob Dannhausen-Brun | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 16.3% | 21.8% | 17.7% | 9.5% |
| Michael Valverde | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 16.2% | 20.6% | 22.1% | 10.2% |
| Austin Lee | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 6.9% | 11.4% | 17.0% | 27.8% | 25.0% |
| Stephane Vinet | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 11.1% | 20.1% | 52.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.