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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Korbin Kierstead 11.4% 15.8% 20.4% 17.5% 14.6% 11.9% 6.1% 2.3% 0.0%
Alexander O'Grady 51.0% 27.5% 13.2% 5.4% 2.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Colton Gerber 10.9% 15.9% 18.6% 17.8% 15.9% 12.1% 6.4% 1.8% 0.6%
Noah Rosenthal 9.6% 14.8% 13.6% 20.5% 17.8% 12.1% 7.8% 3.0% 0.8%
Ryan Clulo 8.0% 13.9% 17.0% 15.9% 15.2% 14.3% 9.2% 5.2% 1.3%
Jacob Dannhausen-Brun 3.1% 4.0% 6.6% 8.5% 12.5% 16.3% 21.8% 17.7% 9.5%
Michael Valverde 2.8% 4.1% 4.9% 8.5% 10.6% 16.2% 20.6% 22.1% 10.2%
Austin Lee 2.2% 2.4% 3.9% 3.4% 6.9% 11.4% 17.0% 27.8% 25.0%
Stephane Vinet 1.0% 1.6% 1.8% 2.5% 4.1% 5.2% 11.1% 20.1% 52.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.