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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University1.11+3.41vs Predicted
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2Lake Forest College3.06-0.19vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.46+0.82vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan1.44-1.21vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota0.08+0.10vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois0.16-0.93vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University1.24-3.84vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-0.43-1.99vs Predicted
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10University of Chicago-1.05-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.41Marquette University1.110.1%1st Place
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1.81Lake Forest College3.060.5%1st Place
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3.82University of Wisconsin1.460.1%1st Place
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3.79University of Michigan1.440.1%1st Place
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6.1University of Minnesota0.080.0%1st Place
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6.07University of Illinois0.160.0%1st Place
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4.16Northwestern University1.240.1%1st Place
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7.01Western Michigan University-0.430.0%1st Place
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7.82University of Chicago-1.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Clulo | 8.4% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 15.6% | 17.4% | 15.3% | 12.1% | 4.1% | 0.8% |
| Alexander O'Grady | 50.8% | 28.9% | 12.2% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Korbin Kierstead | 11.5% | 16.6% | 17.8% | 17.7% | 15.7% | 12.5% | 6.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Colton Gerber | 12.0% | 16.1% | 18.7% | 18.8% | 14.6% | 11.2% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Michael Valverde | 2.6% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 15.7% | 17.3% | 19.3% | 12.4% |
| Jacob Dannhausen-Brun | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 23.0% | 19.3% | 9.3% |
| Noah Rosenthal | 8.9% | 13.1% | 18.0% | 16.1% | 17.7% | 13.5% | 8.8% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Austin Lee | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 11.7% | 16.8% | 29.4% | 23.6% |
| Stephane Vinet | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 21.0% | 52.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.