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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Ryan Clulo 8.4% 11.8% 14.5% 15.6% 17.4% 15.3% 12.1% 4.1% 0.8%
Alexander O'Grady 50.8% 28.9% 12.2% 5.5% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Korbin Kierstead 11.5% 16.6% 17.8% 17.7% 15.7% 12.5% 6.1% 1.6% 0.5%
Colton Gerber 12.0% 16.1% 18.7% 18.8% 14.6% 11.2% 5.9% 2.0% 0.7%
Michael Valverde 2.6% 4.4% 7.4% 9.8% 11.1% 15.7% 17.3% 19.3% 12.4%
Jacob Dannhausen-Brun 3.1% 4.8% 5.5% 9.8% 11.6% 13.6% 23.0% 19.3% 9.3%
Noah Rosenthal 8.9% 13.1% 18.0% 16.1% 17.7% 13.5% 8.8% 3.3% 0.6%
Austin Lee 1.8% 2.8% 3.6% 4.2% 6.1% 11.7% 16.8% 29.4% 23.6%
Stephane Vinet 0.9% 1.5% 2.3% 2.5% 3.6% 6.1% 10.0% 21.0% 52.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.