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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Lake Forest College3.06+0.72vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.46+1.97vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan1.44+0.88vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.24+0.09vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota0.08+1.08vs Predicted
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6Marquette University1.11-1.64vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-0.43-0.96vs Predicted
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9University of Illinois0.16-2.96vs Predicted
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10University of Chicago-1.05-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.72Lake Forest College3.060.6%1st Place
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3.97University of Wisconsin1.460.1%1st Place
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3.88University of Michigan1.440.1%1st Place
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4.09Northwestern University1.240.1%1st Place
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6.08University of Minnesota0.080.0%1st Place
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4.36Marquette University1.110.1%1st Place
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7.04Western Michigan University-0.430.0%1st Place
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6.04University of Illinois0.160.0%1st Place
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7.82University of Chicago-1.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander O'Grady | 56.6% | 25.8% | 10.1% | 5.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Korbin Kierstead | 7.9% | 16.2% | 20.4% | 17.7% | 16.3% | 11.4% | 7.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Colton Gerber | 9.9% | 16.8% | 19.2% | 17.1% | 15.2% | 13.3% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Noah Rosenthal | 9.7% | 15.3% | 15.8% | 17.3% | 16.6% | 12.9% | 8.4% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Michael Valverde | 2.8% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 20.1% | 18.7% | 11.9% |
| Ryan Clulo | 7.3% | 12.2% | 15.1% | 17.6% | 17.1% | 16.8% | 9.6% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Austin Lee | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 17.4% | 30.3% | 23.3% |
| Jacob Dannhausen-Brun | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 16.5% | 19.0% | 20.3% | 9.4% |
| Stephane Vinet | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 12.3% | 19.5% | 52.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.