← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Michigan1.44+2.87vs Predicted
-
2Lake Forest College3.06-0.19vs Predicted
-
3Northwestern University1.24+1.20vs Predicted
-
4University of Illinois0.16+1.97vs Predicted
-
5Marquette University1.11-0.68vs Predicted
-
7University of Minnesota0.08-0.79vs Predicted
-
8University of Wisconsin1.46-4.21vs Predicted
-
9Western Michigan University-0.43-2.00vs Predicted
-
10University of Chicago-1.05-2.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.87University of Michigan1.440.1%1st Place
-
1.81Lake Forest College3.060.5%1st Place
-
4.2Northwestern University1.240.1%1st Place
-
5.97University of Illinois0.160.0%1st Place
-
4.32Marquette University1.110.1%1st Place
-
6.21University of Minnesota0.080.0%1st Place
-
3.79University of Wisconsin1.460.1%1st Place
-
7.0Western Michigan University-0.430.0%1st Place
-
7.83University of Chicago-1.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colton Gerber | 11.1% | 16.7% | 16.4% | 18.7% | 15.8% | 12.0% | 6.9% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Alexander O'Grady | 51.1% | 28.0% | 13.5% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Rosenthal | 8.7% | 13.4% | 16.1% | 17.5% | 16.9% | 14.7% | 8.7% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Jacob Dannhausen-Brun | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 15.8% | 18.6% | 18.1% | 9.9% |
| Ryan Clulo | 8.3% | 13.6% | 16.7% | 15.7% | 15.7% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 5.2% | 1.3% |
| Michael Valverde | 2.8% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 17.4% | 20.1% | 20.5% | 11.2% |
| Korbin Kierstead | 11.5% | 16.0% | 19.1% | 19.3% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Austin Lee | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 18.8% | 26.3% | 25.2% |
| Stephane Vinet | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 10.5% | 22.4% | 51.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.