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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.44+2.84vs Predicted
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2Lake Forest College3.06-0.19vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.24+0.20vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.46-1.26vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota0.08+0.09vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois0.16-0.94vs Predicted
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8Marquette University1.11-3.58vs Predicted
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9University of Chicago-1.05-1.17vs Predicted
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10Western Michigan University-0.43-2.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.84University of Michigan1.440.1%1st Place
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1.81Lake Forest College3.060.5%1st Place
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4.2Northwestern University1.240.1%1st Place
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3.74University of Wisconsin1.460.1%1st Place
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6.09University of Minnesota0.080.0%1st Place
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6.06University of Illinois0.160.0%1st Place
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4.42Marquette University1.110.1%1st Place
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7.83University of Chicago-1.050.0%1st Place
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7.01Western Michigan University-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colton Gerber | 11.1% | 17.1% | 18.3% | 18.0% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Alexander O'Grady | 50.7% | 28.8% | 12.4% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Rosenthal | 9.1% | 13.4% | 14.9% | 18.0% | 16.5% | 15.2% | 9.4% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Korbin Kierstead | 12.4% | 16.3% | 20.0% | 16.7% | 15.5% | 11.7% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Michael Valverde | 2.7% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 18.5% | 19.3% | 11.7% |
| Jacob Dannhausen-Brun | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 22.8% | 19.5% | 9.0% |
| Ryan Clulo | 7.7% | 10.9% | 16.8% | 14.8% | 18.1% | 15.5% | 10.8% | 4.9% | 0.5% |
| Stephane Vinet | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 19.6% | 53.4% |
| Austin Lee | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 10.9% | 16.3% | 29.3% | 24.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.