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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.70+1.32vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+0.85vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.20-0.07vs Predicted
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4Worcester Polytechnic Institute1.71-0.39vs Predicted
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5McGill University1.06-0.47vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.21+0.04vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut0.01-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.32Tufts University2.700.4%1st Place
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2.85Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.2%1st Place
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2.93Bowdoin College2.200.2%1st Place
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3.61Worcester Polytechnic Institute1.710.1%1st Place
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4.53McGill University1.060.1%1st Place
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6.04Bates College-0.210.0%1st Place
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5.71University of Connecticut0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Proctor | 35.4% | 26.2% | 18.0% | 13.4% | 5.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Richard Graef | 21.8% | 22.9% | 22.7% | 18.2% | 9.9% | 4.1% | 0.4% |
| Emily McNeil | 19.8% | 23.6% | 22.0% | 18.4% | 11.7% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Mike Brendlinger | 13.3% | 13.9% | 18.9% | 20.6% | 20.8% | 10.5% | 2.0% |
| Maxime Fecteau | 5.6% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 16.4% | 29.5% | 20.4% | 8.9% |
| Ryan Lovering | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 11.5% | 26.1% | 50.7% |
| Eleanor Leonard | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 34.1% | 36.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.