Race 8B

lake-virginia-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Sara Menesale 6.3% 8.1% 7.9% 8.9% 9.0% 11.5% 10.3% 10.5% 9.6% 7.5% 5.8% 3.7% 0.9%
Nathan Long 9.7% 9.8% 10.0% 12.3% 12.3% 12.2% 8.9% 9.3% 5.8% 4.3% 3.4% 1.6% 0.4%
Hank Seum 21.1% 19.1% 15.5% 12.6% 11.2% 7.6% 5.9% 3.5% 2.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Beatriz Newland 3.9% 4.2% 4.2% 5.4% 7.2% 7.3% 7.8% 9.0% 11.8% 12.0% 10.2% 9.6% 7.5%
Josh Becher 7.6% 8.1% 10.1% 9.3% 9.8% 10.4% 10.8% 9.5% 8.6% 7.4% 4.9% 2.9% 0.5%
Matthew King 22.6% 20.1% 16.4% 13.0% 10.4% 7.2% 4.3% 3.1% 1.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Milo Miller 11.1% 11.0% 12.6% 11.6% 12.4% 9.6% 10.0% 8.3% 5.9% 4.2% 2.2% 1.1% 0.0%
Zechariah Frantz 2.1% 2.4% 3.6% 3.6% 3.9% 5.9% 7.3% 6.7% 8.8% 9.2% 12.8% 15.8% 17.8%
Matthew Sexton 2.8% 3.2% 2.8% 3.4% 4.2% 4.5% 5.0% 6.8% 9.2% 10.8% 13.9% 16.0% 17.4%
Luke Justin 5.0% 6.0% 6.9% 8.0% 8.0% 8.2% 9.9% 11.1% 9.8% 9.8% 8.1% 6.3% 2.9%
Zi Burns 2.6% 2.4% 3.7% 4.0% 4.0% 5.8% 6.7% 8.2% 8.8% 13.0% 12.9% 14.6% 13.2%
Ella Lansford 2.9% 3.8% 4.2% 5.3% 4.9% 6.4% 8.5% 9.3% 11.1% 10.9% 13.5% 11.2% 8.1%
Annslee Maloy 2.1% 1.9% 2.2% 2.6% 2.5% 3.3% 4.5% 4.5% 6.2% 9.3% 12.1% 17.1% 31.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.