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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Lake Forest College3.06+0.71vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.44+2.02vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.46+0.83vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.24+0.08vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois0.16+0.95vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago-1.05+1.83vs Predicted
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8Marquette University1.11-3.62vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-0.43-2.00vs Predicted
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10University of Minnesota0.08-3.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.71Lake Forest College3.060.6%1st Place
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4.02University of Michigan1.440.1%1st Place
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3.83University of Wisconsin1.460.1%1st Place
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4.08Northwestern University1.240.1%1st Place
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5.95University of Illinois0.160.0%1st Place
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7.83University of Chicago-1.050.0%1st Place
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4.38Marquette University1.110.1%1st Place
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7.0Western Michigan University-0.430.0%1st Place
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6.2University of Minnesota0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander O'Grady | 56.5% | 25.2% | 11.6% | 4.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colton Gerber | 7.7% | 16.0% | 18.5% | 20.8% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Korbin Kierstead | 10.1% | 18.3% | 18.7% | 15.0% | 17.4% | 12.1% | 6.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Noah Rosenthal | 9.4% | 14.2% | 17.8% | 16.6% | 17.7% | 12.7% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Jacob Dannhausen-Brun | 2.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 16.0% | 18.4% | 18.2% | 10.2% |
| Stephane Vinet | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 21.9% | 51.6% |
| Ryan Clulo | 7.6% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 17.1% | 18.0% | 14.7% | 10.5% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Austin Lee | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 11.2% | 16.8% | 28.2% | 24.5% |
| Michael Valverde | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 22.7% | 20.6% | 11.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.