← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northwestern University1.95+0.70vs Predicted
-
3University of Wisconsin1.09-0.43vs Predicted
-
4Marquette University0.84-1.15vs Predicted
-
5University of Minnesota-0.67-0.23vs Predicted
-
6Lake Forest College-0.83-1.00vs Predicted
-
7University of Chicago-1.73-0.79vs Predicted
-
8University of Illinois-2.12-1.28vs Predicted
-
9Western Michigan University-1.75-2.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.7Northwestern University1.950.5%1st Place
-
2.57University of Wisconsin1.090.2%1st Place
-
2.85Marquette University0.840.2%1st Place
-
4.77University of Minnesota-0.670.0%1st Place
-
5.0Lake Forest College-0.830.0%1st Place
-
6.21University of Chicago-1.730.0%1st Place
-
6.72University of Illinois-2.120.0%1st Place
-
6.18Western Michigan University-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Davies | 53.9% | 28.2% | 13.0% | 4.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Miller | 20.1% | 30.6% | 28.5% | 14.4% | 5.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mason Chrabaszcz | 16.8% | 22.5% | 32.2% | 18.8% | 7.4% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Michael Adkins | 3.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 21.7% | 23.9% | 19.6% | 11.2% | 3.6% |
| Charles Koules | 3.1% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 21.6% | 24.7% | 19.4% | 14.4% | 4.8% |
| Kyra Martin | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 7.7% | 14.8% | 20.9% | 24.6% | 25.4% |
| Lois Holman | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 14.5% | 23.3% | 43.6% |
| Drake Hullinger | 0.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 14.7% | 22.8% | 26.2% | 22.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.