← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northwestern University1.95+0.71vs Predicted
-
3University of Wisconsin1.09-0.42vs Predicted
-
4Marquette University0.84-1.16vs Predicted
-
5University of Minnesota-0.67-0.22vs Predicted
-
6Lake Forest College-0.83-0.99vs Predicted
-
7Western Michigan University-1.75-0.76vs Predicted
-
8University of Chicago-1.73-1.76vs Predicted
-
9University of Illinois-2.12-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.71Northwestern University1.950.5%1st Place
-
2.58University of Wisconsin1.090.2%1st Place
-
2.84Marquette University0.840.2%1st Place
-
4.78University of Minnesota-0.670.0%1st Place
-
5.01Lake Forest College-0.830.0%1st Place
-
6.24Western Michigan University-1.750.0%1st Place
-
6.24University of Chicago-1.730.0%1st Place
-
6.62University of Illinois-2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Davies | 53.7% | 28.0% | 13.3% | 4.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Miller | 20.0% | 30.9% | 28.2% | 14.2% | 5.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mason Chrabaszcz | 16.9% | 23.0% | 32.1% | 18.2% | 7.4% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Adkins | 3.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 21.1% | 25.1% | 19.4% | 10.9% | 3.7% |
| Charles Koules | 3.1% | 4.2% | 7.7% | 21.9% | 24.0% | 20.2% | 14.0% | 4.9% |
| Drake Hullinger | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 7.7% | 14.3% | 21.6% | 23.3% | 26.8% |
| Kyra Martin | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 8.0% | 13.1% | 19.0% | 25.5% | 27.1% |
| Lois Holman | 0.5% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 9.8% | 16.7% | 25.8% | 37.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.