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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.95+0.68vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.09+0.54vs Predicted
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3Marquette University0.67-0.01vs Predicted
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5Lake Forest College-0.83-0.02vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota-0.67-1.25vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-1.75-0.78vs Predicted
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8University of Illinois-2.12-1.28vs Predicted
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9University of Chicago-1.73-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.68Northwestern University1.950.6%1st Place
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2.54University of Wisconsin1.090.2%1st Place
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2.99Marquette University0.670.2%1st Place
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4.98Lake Forest College-0.830.0%1st Place
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4.75University of Minnesota-0.670.0%1st Place
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6.22Western Michigan University-1.750.0%1st Place
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6.72University of Illinois-2.120.0%1st Place
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6.12University of Chicago-1.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Davies | 55.1% | 27.8% | 12.2% | 4.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Miller | 20.2% | 32.5% | 27.4% | 14.1% | 4.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bobby Sessions | 15.2% | 20.0% | 32.7% | 19.1% | 9.5% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Charles Koules | 2.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 18.9% | 23.6% | 20.8% | 13.6% | 5.4% |
| Michael Adkins | 4.0% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 24.3% | 23.3% | 18.0% | 12.1% | 3.2% |
| Drake Hullinger | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 6.8% | 15.3% | 20.6% | 23.9% | 26.4% |
| Lois Holman | 1.1% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 14.0% | 22.8% | 44.2% |
| Kyra Martin | 0.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 7.5% | 14.6% | 22.7% | 27.2% | 20.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.