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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.95+0.68vs Predicted
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3Marquette University0.67+0.02vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.09-1.48vs Predicted
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5Lake Forest College-0.83-0.02vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota-0.67-1.25vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-1.75-0.78vs Predicted
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8University of Illinois-2.12-1.29vs Predicted
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9University of Chicago-1.73-2.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.68Northwestern University1.950.5%1st Place
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3.02Marquette University0.670.1%1st Place
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2.52University of Wisconsin1.090.2%1st Place
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4.98Lake Forest College-0.830.0%1st Place
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4.75University of Minnesota-0.670.0%1st Place
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6.22Western Michigan University-1.750.0%1st Place
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6.71University of Illinois-2.120.0%1st Place
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6.13University of Chicago-1.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Davies | 54.9% | 28.0% | 11.9% | 4.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bobby Sessions | 13.9% | 22.1% | 30.0% | 20.1% | 10.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Miller | 22.1% | 30.8% | 27.9% | 13.3% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Koules | 2.5% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 18.6% | 23.8% | 20.7% | 13.5% | 5.4% |
| Michael Adkins | 3.8% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 24.4% | 22.6% | 17.8% | 12.2% | 3.3% |
| Drake Hullinger | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 7.2% | 14.6% | 21.3% | 23.7% | 26.4% |
| Lois Holman | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 13.7% | 22.7% | 44.2% |
| Kyra Martin | 0.5% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 14.6% | 22.8% | 27.1% | 20.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.