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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.95+0.69vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.09+0.54vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University-1.75+2.20vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota-0.67-0.25vs Predicted
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6Marquette University0.67-3.00vs Predicted
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7University of Chicago-1.73-0.84vs Predicted
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8Lake Forest College-0.83-2.98vs Predicted
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9University of Illinois-2.12-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.69Northwestern University1.950.5%1st Place
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2.54University of Wisconsin1.090.2%1st Place
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6.2Western Michigan University-1.750.0%1st Place
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4.75University of Minnesota-0.670.0%1st Place
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3.0Marquette University0.670.1%1st Place
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6.16University of Chicago-1.730.0%1st Place
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5.02Lake Forest College-0.830.0%1st Place
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6.63University of Illinois-2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Davies | 54.0% | 28.8% | 12.3% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Miller | 21.1% | 31.9% | 27.4% | 12.8% | 5.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Drake Hullinger | 1.5% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 20.2% | 24.8% | 26.4% |
| Michael Adkins | 3.3% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 21.1% | 25.2% | 20.0% | 9.4% | 4.0% |
| Bobby Sessions | 14.4% | 21.6% | 30.7% | 20.8% | 8.8% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kyra Martin | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 8.5% | 14.0% | 20.0% | 25.7% | 24.4% |
| Charles Koules | 3.8% | 4.4% | 8.8% | 19.0% | 24.6% | 18.8% | 13.2% | 7.4% |
| Lois Holman | 0.6% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 9.2% | 16.8% | 26.1% | 37.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.