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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.95+0.69vs Predicted
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2Western Michigan University-1.75+4.25vs Predicted
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3Lake Forest College-0.83+1.90vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.09-1.42vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota-0.67-0.27vs Predicted
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7Marquette University0.67-4.02vs Predicted
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8University of Illinois-2.12-1.28vs Predicted
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9University of Chicago-1.73-2.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.69Northwestern University1.950.5%1st Place
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6.25Western Michigan University-1.750.0%1st Place
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4.9Lake Forest College-0.830.0%1st Place
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2.58University of Wisconsin1.090.2%1st Place
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4.73University of Minnesota-0.670.0%1st Place
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2.98Marquette University0.670.1%1st Place
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6.72University of Illinois-2.120.0%1st Place
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6.15University of Chicago-1.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Davies | 54.6% | 28.1% | 12.6% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Hullinger | 1.1% | 1.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 12.8% | 19.1% | 27.1% | 26.4% |
| Charles Koules | 4.1% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 18.3% | 24.2% | 21.1% | 12.0% | 5.2% |
| Zachary Miller | 20.0% | 31.8% | 26.7% | 14.3% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Adkins | 3.6% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 23.0% | 24.4% | 19.2% | 10.9% | 2.6% |
| Bobby Sessions | 14.7% | 22.5% | 30.0% | 20.2% | 9.0% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Lois Holman | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 23.9% | 43.4% |
| Kyra Martin | 0.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 9.1% | 13.3% | 23.4% | 25.4% | 22.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.