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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.95+0.70vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.09-0.43vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.84-1.15vs Predicted
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5Lake Forest College-0.830.00vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota-0.67-1.22vs Predicted
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7University of Chicago-1.73-0.80vs Predicted
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8University of Illinois-2.12-1.28vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-1.75-2.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.7Northwestern University1.950.5%1st Place
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2.57University of Wisconsin1.090.2%1st Place
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2.85Marquette University0.840.2%1st Place
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5.0Lake Forest College-0.830.0%1st Place
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4.78University of Minnesota-0.670.0%1st Place
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6.2University of Chicago-1.730.0%1st Place
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6.72University of Illinois-2.120.0%1st Place
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6.17Western Michigan University-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Davies | 54.0% | 27.7% | 13.4% | 4.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Miller | 20.1% | 30.5% | 28.4% | 14.8% | 5.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mason Chrabaszcz | 16.6% | 22.9% | 31.4% | 19.5% | 7.2% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Charles Koules | 2.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 18.3% | 24.6% | 21.0% | 13.7% | 5.2% |
| Michael Adkins | 4.0% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 24.7% | 23.5% | 18.2% | 12.2% | 3.2% |
| Kyra Martin | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 7.0% | 15.4% | 21.5% | 23.8% | 25.5% |
| Lois Holman | 1.1% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 13.9% | 23.2% | 43.9% |
| Drake Hullinger | 0.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 15.0% | 22.3% | 26.9% | 22.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.