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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.09+1.52vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.95-0.25vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.84-1.16vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota-0.67-0.22vs Predicted
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6Lake Forest College-0.83-1.01vs Predicted
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7University of Chicago-1.73-0.78vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-1.75-1.72vs Predicted
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9University of Illinois-2.12-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.52University of Wisconsin1.090.2%1st Place
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1.75Northwestern University1.950.5%1st Place
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2.84Marquette University0.840.2%1st Place
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4.78University of Minnesota-0.670.0%1st Place
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4.99Lake Forest College-0.830.0%1st Place
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6.22University of Chicago-1.730.0%1st Place
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6.28Western Michigan University-1.750.0%1st Place
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6.62University of Illinois-2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Miller | 23.1% | 29.8% | 27.5% | 12.7% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mark Davies | 51.0% | 29.3% | 14.2% | 4.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mason Chrabaszcz | 16.7% | 23.7% | 31.7% | 17.7% | 7.7% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Adkins | 3.2% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 21.7% | 25.9% | 18.5% | 11.0% | 3.6% |
| Charles Koules | 2.8% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 22.5% | 23.8% | 20.0% | 13.9% | 4.8% |
| Kyra Martin | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 7.8% | 13.9% | 22.2% | 23.2% | 26.2% |
| Drake Hullinger | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 7.9% | 12.7% | 18.9% | 25.8% | 27.9% |
| Lois Holman | 0.6% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 10.0% | 16.6% | 25.7% | 37.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.