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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.95+0.69vs Predicted
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3Lake Forest College-0.83+1.98vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.09-1.50vs Predicted
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5Marquette University0.67-2.02vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota-0.67-1.23vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois-2.12-0.33vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-1.75-1.73vs Predicted
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9University of Chicago-1.73-2.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.69Northwestern University1.950.5%1st Place
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4.98Lake Forest College-0.830.0%1st Place
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2.5University of Wisconsin1.090.2%1st Place
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2.98Marquette University0.670.1%1st Place
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4.77University of Minnesota-0.670.0%1st Place
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6.67University of Illinois-2.120.0%1st Place
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6.27Western Michigan University-1.750.0%1st Place
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6.14University of Chicago-1.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Davies | 54.0% | 28.0% | 13.4% | 4.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Koules | 3.1% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 18.4% | 24.8% | 20.6% | 14.1% | 4.8% |
| Zachary Miller | 22.3% | 31.2% | 27.0% | 14.1% | 4.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bobby Sessions | 14.2% | 22.6% | 30.0% | 21.1% | 9.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Michael Adkins | 3.5% | 5.7% | 10.9% | 21.9% | 24.1% | 20.1% | 10.2% | 3.6% |
| Lois Holman | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 22.1% | 41.7% |
| Drake Hullinger | 1.5% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 12.3% | 19.9% | 25.9% | 27.6% |
| Kyra Martin | 0.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 9.1% | 13.5% | 21.1% | 27.0% | 22.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.