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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.55+2.50vs Predicted
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2University of Miami0.83+3.31vs Predicted
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3Rollins College0.95+2.14vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.50+3.25vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.45-1.23vs Predicted
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6Rollins College-0.11+2.15vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida0.77-1.44vs Predicted
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8Rollins College-0.45+1.12vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida-0.31+0.15vs Predicted
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10University of Miami0.68-3.82vs Predicted
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11Florida Institute of Technology-0.99-0.84vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University-0.31-3.71vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-0.52-3.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5Jacksonville University1.5521.3%1st Place
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5.31University of Miami0.839.4%1st Place
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5.14Rollins College0.9512.0%1st Place
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7.25University of South Florida0.505.0%1st Place
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3.77Jacksonville University1.4520.8%1st Place
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8.15Rollins College-0.113.0%1st Place
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5.56University of South Florida0.778.4%1st Place
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9.12Rollins College-0.452.5%1st Place
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9.15University of South Florida-0.312.3%1st Place
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6.18University of Miami0.687.4%1st Place
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10.16Florida Institute of Technology-0.992.0%1st Place
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8.29Jacksonville University-0.313.5%1st Place
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9.43Embry-Riddle University-0.522.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew King | 21.3% | 20.4% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Long | 9.4% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Milo Miller | 12.0% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Luke Justin | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 2.9% |
| Hank Seum | 20.8% | 17.4% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Adderley | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 9.4% | 7.7% |
| Ghislaine van Empel | 8.4% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Zi Burns | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 15.8% | 14.7% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 15.2% |
| Josh Becher | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Annslee Maloy | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 17.0% | 31.0% |
| Ella Lansford | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 7.7% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 18.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.