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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.95+0.71vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.09+0.55vs Predicted
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4Lake Forest College-0.83+0.91vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota-0.67-0.25vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-1.75+0.23vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois-2.12-0.34vs Predicted
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8University of Chicago-1.73-1.79vs Predicted
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9Marquette University0.67-6.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.71Northwestern University1.950.5%1st Place
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2.55University of Wisconsin1.090.2%1st Place
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4.91Lake Forest College-0.830.0%1st Place
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4.75University of Minnesota-0.670.0%1st Place
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6.23Western Michigan University-1.750.0%1st Place
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6.66University of Illinois-2.120.0%1st Place
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6.21University of Chicago-1.730.0%1st Place
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2.98Marquette University0.670.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Davies | 53.4% | 29.3% | 11.7% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Miller | 21.1% | 31.3% | 27.8% | 13.1% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Koules | 3.5% | 5.3% | 9.8% | 19.5% | 25.5% | 17.6% | 13.9% | 4.9% |
| Michael Adkins | 3.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 23.6% | 23.5% | 20.0% | 9.9% | 3.8% |
| Drake Hullinger | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 8.0% | 13.6% | 19.8% | 28.4% | 23.9% |
| Lois Holman | 0.8% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 10.4% | 17.2% | 21.9% | 40.9% |
| Kyra Martin | 1.6% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 20.2% | 25.2% | 26.4% |
| Bobby Sessions | 15.1% | 21.3% | 31.9% | 19.1% | 8.7% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.