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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.95+0.70vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.09+0.56vs Predicted
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3University of Chicago-1.73+3.17vs Predicted
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5Marquette University0.84-2.11vs Predicted
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6Lake Forest College-0.83-0.99vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota-0.67-2.22vs Predicted
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8University of Illinois-2.12-1.28vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-1.75-2.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.7Northwestern University1.950.5%1st Place
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2.56University of Wisconsin1.090.2%1st Place
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6.17University of Chicago-1.730.0%1st Place
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2.89Marquette University0.840.2%1st Place
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5.01Lake Forest College-0.830.0%1st Place
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4.78University of Minnesota-0.670.0%1st Place
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6.72University of Illinois-2.120.0%1st Place
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6.17Western Michigan University-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Davies | 53.3% | 28.1% | 15.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Miller | 20.2% | 32.6% | 26.3% | 14.0% | 6.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Martin | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 19.3% | 26.0% | 24.7% |
| Mason Chrabaszcz | 16.3% | 23.0% | 30.8% | 19.4% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Charles Koules | 3.2% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 20.0% | 24.7% | 21.8% | 12.8% | 5.3% |
| Michael Adkins | 3.8% | 4.8% | 10.9% | 22.3% | 25.6% | 16.8% | 12.2% | 3.6% |
| Lois Holman | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 15.1% | 22.6% | 43.8% |
| Drake Hullinger | 0.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 6.9% | 14.4% | 22.9% | 26.0% | 22.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.