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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Queen's University1.18+0.11vs Predicted
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4Queen's University0.17-0.77vs Predicted
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6University of Toronto-0.52-1.90vs Predicted
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8Queen's University0.01-4.58vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute0.85-7.44vs Predicted
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12Penn State University-2.06-6.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.11Queen's University1.180.4%1st Place
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3.23Queen's University0.170.1%1st Place
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4.1University of Toronto-0.520.1%1st Place
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3.42Queen's University0.010.1%1st Place
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2.56Webb Institute0.850.3%1st Place
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5.59Penn State University-2.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Baum | 38.9% | 29.3% | 17.7% | 10.2% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Christina Black | 13.7% | 19.2% | 23.2% | 22.0% | 18.6% | 3.3% |
| Michael Morris | 7.2% | 8.3% | 15.2% | 18.7% | 38.3% | 12.3% |
| Alex Smyth | 13.1% | 13.7% | 20.2% | 28.4% | 20.5% | 4.1% |
| Sean Walker | 25.6% | 28.2% | 21.5% | 15.5% | 7.6% | 1.6% |
| David Stude | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 5.2% | 11.6% | 78.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.