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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Toronto-0.52+3.13vs Predicted
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4Queen's University0.17-0.78vs Predicted
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5Queen's University1.18-2.93vs Predicted
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8Queen's University0.01-4.57vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute0.85-6.42vs Predicted
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13Penn State University-2.06-7.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.13University of Toronto-0.520.1%1st Place
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3.22Queen's University0.170.1%1st Place
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2.07Queen's University1.180.4%1st Place
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3.43Queen's University0.010.1%1st Place
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2.58Webb Institute0.850.3%1st Place
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5.58Penn State University-2.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Morris | 5.6% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 18.4% | 37.3% | 13.8% |
| Christina Black | 13.9% | 19.3% | 21.7% | 23.9% | 18.3% | 2.9% |
| Zachary Baum | 41.1% | 27.1% | 19.3% | 9.2% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Alex Smyth | 12.7% | 14.0% | 20.4% | 27.8% | 21.1% | 4.0% |
| Sean Walker | 25.5% | 27.4% | 21.6% | 16.1% | 7.9% | 1.5% |
| David Stude | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 12.6% | 77.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.