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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.18+1.12vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute0.85-3.56vs Predicted
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7Queen's University0.17-3.74vs Predicted
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8Queen's University0.01-4.51vs Predicted
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9Penn State University-2.06-3.43vs Predicted
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12University of Toronto-0.52-7.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.12Queen's University1.180.4%1st Place
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2.44Webb Institute0.850.3%1st Place
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3.26Queen's University0.170.1%1st Place
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3.49Queen's University0.010.1%1st Place
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5.57Penn State University-2.060.0%1st Place
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4.12University of Toronto-0.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Baum | 36.7% | 30.9% | 20.4% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Sean Walker | 30.7% | 25.4% | 20.8% | 16.4% | 6.0% | 0.7% |
| Christina Black | 13.9% | 17.3% | 21.8% | 26.1% | 17.8% | 3.1% |
| Alex Smyth | 11.3% | 14.8% | 19.9% | 25.9% | 23.6% | 4.5% |
| David Stude | 0.7% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 9.7% | 79.0% |
| Michael Morris | 6.7% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 18.7% | 39.5% | 12.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.