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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
5.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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4Queen's University0.01-0.53vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute0.85-3.56vs Predicted
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7University of Toronto-0.52-2.90vs Predicted
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11Penn State University-2.06-5.46vs Predicted
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12Queen's University1.18-9.82vs Predicted
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13Queen's University0.17-9.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.47Queen's University0.010.1%1st Place
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2.44Webb Institute0.850.3%1st Place
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4.1University of Toronto-0.520.1%1st Place
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5.54Penn State University-2.060.0%1st Place
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2.18Queen's University1.180.4%1st Place
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3.27Queen's University0.170.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Smyth | 11.0% | 16.6% | 19.4% | 26.3% | 21.1% | 5.6% |
| Sean Walker | 30.6% | 24.7% | 23.0% | 14.4% | 6.7% | 0.6% |
| Michael Morris | 7.3% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 19.9% | 38.5% | 12.4% |
| David Stude | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 10.9% | 77.2% |
| Zachary Baum | 36.6% | 29.8% | 17.9% | 10.7% | 4.6% | 0.4% |
| Christina Black | 13.4% | 17.6% | 23.1% | 23.9% | 18.2% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.