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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.18+1.12vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute0.85-0.57vs Predicted
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4Queen's University0.17-0.75vs Predicted
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9Queen's University0.01-5.55vs Predicted
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10University of Toronto-0.52-5.84vs Predicted
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13Penn State University-2.06-7.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.12Queen's University1.180.4%1st Place
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2.43Webb Institute0.850.3%1st Place
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3.25Queen's University0.170.1%1st Place
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3.45Queen's University0.010.1%1st Place
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4.16University of Toronto-0.520.1%1st Place
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5.58Penn State University-2.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Baum | 36.6% | 32.3% | 18.0% | 9.6% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Sean Walker | 30.5% | 25.3% | 22.9% | 14.2% | 6.3% | 0.8% |
| Christina Black | 13.8% | 17.4% | 22.6% | 24.7% | 19.0% | 2.5% |
| Alex Smyth | 11.7% | 14.4% | 21.4% | 25.4% | 23.5% | 3.6% |
| Michael Morris | 6.2% | 8.7% | 13.3% | 20.2% | 37.6% | 14.0% |
| David Stude | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 5.9% | 10.8% | 78.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.