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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Webb Institute0.85+0.49vs Predicted
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3Queen's University1.18-0.94vs Predicted
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4Queen's University0.17-0.76vs Predicted
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7Queen's University0.01-3.54vs Predicted
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8University of Toronto-0.52-3.82vs Predicted
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13Penn State University-2.06-7.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.49Webb Institute0.850.3%1st Place
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2.06Queen's University1.180.4%1st Place
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3.24Queen's University0.170.1%1st Place
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3.46Queen's University0.010.1%1st Place
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4.18University of Toronto-0.520.1%1st Place
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5.58Penn State University-2.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Walker | 26.4% | 29.4% | 21.9% | 14.7% | 6.2% | 1.4% |
| Zachary Baum | 42.1% | 26.7% | 19.2% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Christina Black | 13.8% | 18.5% | 21.6% | 25.2% | 18.3% | 2.6% |
| Alex Smyth | 10.7% | 15.1% | 21.8% | 25.8% | 23.1% | 3.5% |
| Michael Morris | 5.8% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 20.6% | 37.9% | 13.9% |
| David Stude | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 5.8% | 10.9% | 78.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.