Race 10B

lake-virginia-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Josh Becher 7.5% 7.1% 8.4% 10.0% 9.0% 10.0% 10.1% 9.0% 10.1% 7.8% 5.9% 4.2% 1.1%
Ghislaine van Empel 9.3% 9.6% 9.2% 10.0% 11.3% 11.5% 9.9% 9.8% 6.8% 5.8% 4.2% 1.8% 0.7%
Nathan Long 10.4% 10.2% 11.5% 11.2% 10.3% 10.7% 9.3% 9.1% 6.8% 5.8% 2.9% 1.8% 0.1%
Matthew King 21.0% 19.7% 16.1% 13.2% 10.9% 6.7% 6.2% 3.4% 1.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Milo Miller 10.3% 11.8% 11.3% 11.9% 10.7% 10.8% 10.1% 8.5% 6.4% 3.6% 2.9% 1.5% 0.4%
Luke Justin 6.2% 6.0% 6.6% 6.0% 7.5% 8.3% 10.1% 10.1% 9.4% 10.7% 9.5% 6.6% 2.9%
Garrett Floerchinger 2.5% 2.7% 3.9% 3.2% 5.0% 4.7% 6.6% 7.8% 9.6% 10.8% 12.5% 16.2% 14.6%
Hank Seum 18.6% 17.6% 16.4% 13.5% 10.4% 8.2% 7.0% 3.9% 2.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1%
Annslee Maloy 1.5% 1.5% 2.1% 2.9% 2.8% 4.2% 3.9% 4.5% 7.6% 9.4% 12.1% 15.4% 32.1%
Jack Adderley 4.0% 5.0% 4.3% 5.1% 7.1% 7.4% 7.9% 8.8% 11.0% 11.2% 11.8% 10.1% 6.2%
Ella Lansford 3.6% 3.4% 3.8% 4.2% 5.2% 6.4% 7.4% 9.4% 10.4% 11.9% 13.2% 12.3% 8.6%
Zechariah Frantz 2.1% 2.6% 2.9% 4.0% 4.0% 5.4% 5.8% 6.9% 8.8% 10.2% 12.1% 15.4% 19.8%
Zi Burns 2.9% 2.9% 3.5% 4.8% 5.7% 5.8% 5.9% 8.9% 8.9% 10.5% 12.4% 14.4% 13.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.