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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.18+1.10vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute0.85-0.57vs Predicted
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8Queen's University0.17-4.76vs Predicted
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9University of Toronto-0.52-4.91vs Predicted
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12Queen's University0.01-8.44vs Predicted
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13Penn State University-2.06-7.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.1Queen's University1.180.4%1st Place
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2.43Webb Institute0.850.3%1st Place
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3.24Queen's University0.170.1%1st Place
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4.09University of Toronto-0.520.1%1st Place
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3.56Queen's University0.010.1%1st Place
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5.58Penn State University-2.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Baum | 37.2% | 32.9% | 16.4% | 10.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Sean Walker | 31.4% | 24.8% | 21.8% | 14.7% | 6.3% | 1.0% |
| Christina Black | 13.5% | 17.3% | 23.5% | 25.1% | 18.2% | 2.4% |
| Michael Morris | 6.4% | 8.8% | 15.2% | 19.9% | 38.5% | 11.2% |
| Alex Smyth | 10.3% | 14.3% | 21.1% | 24.4% | 23.3% | 6.6% |
| David Stude | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 5.7% | 11.2% | 78.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.