← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Webb Institute0.85+1.49vs Predicted
-
2Queen's University1.18+0.06vs Predicted
-
8Queen's University0.17-4.76vs Predicted
-
11Queen's University0.01-7.50vs Predicted
-
12Penn State University-2.06-6.42vs Predicted
-
13University of Toronto-0.52-8.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.49Webb Institute0.850.3%1st Place
-
2.06Queen's University1.180.4%1st Place
-
3.24Queen's University0.170.1%1st Place
-
3.5Queen's University0.010.1%1st Place
-
5.58Penn State University-2.060.0%1st Place
-
4.12University of Toronto-0.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Walker | 26.4% | 28.8% | 22.0% | 15.5% | 6.5% | 0.8% |
| Zachary Baum | 42.0% | 26.8% | 18.0% | 9.6% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Christina Black | 13.7% | 18.1% | 22.1% | 25.6% | 17.4% | 3.1% |
| Alex Smyth | 10.6% | 14.9% | 20.9% | 25.8% | 23.3% | 4.5% |
| David Stude | 0.7% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 10.3% | 78.9% |
| Michael Morris | 6.6% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 19.4% | 39.3% | 12.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.