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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Webb Institute0.85+0.48vs Predicted
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7Queen's University0.17-3.75vs Predicted
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8University of Toronto-0.52-3.92vs Predicted
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9Queen's University1.18-6.91vs Predicted
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11Queen's University0.01-7.47vs Predicted
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13Penn State University-2.06-7.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.48Webb Institute0.850.3%1st Place
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3.25Queen's University0.170.1%1st Place
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4.08University of Toronto-0.520.1%1st Place
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2.09Queen's University1.180.4%1st Place
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3.53Queen's University0.010.1%1st Place
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5.57Penn State University-2.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Walker | 27.5% | 28.5% | 21.2% | 15.4% | 6.5% | 0.9% |
| Christina Black | 14.8% | 17.6% | 22.1% | 23.0% | 18.6% | 3.9% |
| Michael Morris | 7.8% | 7.3% | 13.9% | 22.2% | 37.5% | 11.3% |
| Zachary Baum | 37.7% | 30.7% | 20.1% | 8.3% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Alex Smyth | 11.1% | 14.5% | 19.9% | 25.0% | 23.4% | 6.1% |
| David Stude | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 6.1% | 11.1% | 77.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.