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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.18+1.11vs Predicted
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4Queen's University0.17-0.74vs Predicted
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8Queen's University0.01-4.56vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute0.85-6.56vs Predicted
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11University of Toronto-0.52-6.83vs Predicted
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12Penn State University-2.06-6.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.11Queen's University1.180.4%1st Place
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3.26Queen's University0.170.1%1st Place
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3.44Queen's University0.010.1%1st Place
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2.44Webb Institute0.850.3%1st Place
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4.17University of Toronto-0.520.1%1st Place
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5.58Penn State University-2.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Baum | 39.4% | 28.7% | 18.1% | 10.0% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Christina Black | 12.9% | 19.2% | 23.2% | 22.2% | 18.7% | 3.8% |
| Alex Smyth | 12.7% | 14.8% | 18.1% | 27.9% | 22.8% | 3.7% |
| Sean Walker | 28.1% | 26.6% | 24.8% | 15.2% | 4.5% | 0.8% |
| Michael Morris | 6.0% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 18.8% | 39.2% | 13.6% |
| David Stude | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 5.9% | 11.8% | 77.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.