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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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4Queen's University1.18-1.89vs Predicted
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7University of Toronto-0.52-2.93vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute0.85-5.57vs Predicted
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9Queen's University0.01-5.56vs Predicted
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11Queen's University0.17-7.61vs Predicted
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12Penn State University-2.06-6.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.11Queen's University1.180.4%1st Place
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4.07University of Toronto-0.520.1%1st Place
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2.43Webb Institute0.850.3%1st Place
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3.44Queen's University0.010.1%1st Place
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3.39Queen's University0.170.1%1st Place
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5.57Penn State University-2.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Baum | 38.6% | 30.5% | 16.9% | 9.6% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Michael Morris | 6.6% | 9.5% | 14.8% | 20.8% | 36.2% | 12.1% |
| Sean Walker | 28.3% | 28.4% | 22.9% | 13.6% | 6.1% | 0.7% |
| Alex Smyth | 13.3% | 12.7% | 21.1% | 25.9% | 23.8% | 3.2% |
| Christina Black | 11.7% | 17.5% | 22.0% | 24.3% | 18.3% | 6.2% |
| David Stude | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 5.8% | 11.7% | 77.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.