Race 11B

lake-virginia-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Matthew King 24.2% 18.2% 16.1% 13.0% 9.6% 8.0% 5.0% 2.8% 1.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Luke Justin 5.1% 6.3% 6.3% 7.1% 7.1% 8.9% 9.7% 11.3% 11.8% 10.5% 8.1% 5.3% 2.5%
Ghislaine van Empel 9.5% 10.9% 9.8% 10.8% 12.3% 11.6% 10.5% 7.8% 7.4% 4.9% 3.3% 0.9% 0.3%
Hank Seum 19.0% 16.9% 16.9% 14.1% 11.6% 8.5% 5.7% 3.7% 2.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Milo Miller 10.7% 11.4% 12.1% 13.1% 12.2% 10.5% 9.7% 6.0% 5.9% 4.6% 2.4% 0.9% 0.5%
Josh Becher 8.1% 9.2% 9.2% 8.2% 11.2% 9.9% 11.2% 10.5% 8.0% 6.4% 4.4% 3.0% 0.8%
Nathan Long 9.2% 10.4% 11.6% 11.7% 10.2% 11.1% 10.4% 9.3% 7.0% 4.7% 3.2% 1.1% 0.1%
Zi Burns 2.2% 3.5% 2.8% 4.2% 4.0% 6.5% 6.8% 7.6% 9.4% 11.9% 14.3% 14.5% 12.2%
Garrett Floerchinger 2.7% 3.0% 3.0% 4.1% 5.0% 5.8% 6.6% 7.8% 9.8% 11.2% 13.9% 14.8% 12.4%
Ella Lansford 3.2% 3.2% 4.4% 4.5% 5.3% 5.6% 8.3% 11.1% 11.8% 11.9% 11.8% 10.8% 8.1%
Matthew Sexton 2.5% 2.9% 3.1% 3.9% 4.9% 5.1% 6.2% 8.3% 8.4% 11.1% 12.2% 16.8% 14.7%
Annslee Maloy 1.1% 1.4% 1.7% 2.2% 3.0% 3.5% 4.3% 6.0% 8.1% 9.3% 12.9% 16.1% 30.2%
Zechariah Frantz 2.4% 2.6% 3.0% 3.3% 3.6% 5.1% 5.7% 7.8% 8.2% 11.5% 13.1% 15.3% 18.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.