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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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3Queen's University1.89-1.29vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute0.46-1.84vs Predicted
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6Queen's University0.87-3.29vs Predicted
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7McGill University0.22-3.49vs Predicted
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8University of Toronto-1.29-2.68vs Predicted
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11Penn State University-2.21-4.74vs Predicted
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12University of Toronto-1.38-6.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.71Queen's University1.890.5%1st Place
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3.16Webb Institute0.460.1%1st Place
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2.71Queen's University0.870.2%1st Place
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3.51McGill University0.220.1%1st Place
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5.32University of Toronto-1.290.0%1st Place
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6.26Penn State University-2.210.0%1st Place
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5.32University of Toronto-1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Gittens | 54.0% | 28.4% | 11.3% | 5.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gokce Gomec | 12.7% | 20.8% | 25.7% | 23.9% | 12.3% | 4.3% | 0.3% |
| Linor Berezin | 18.3% | 28.7% | 27.5% | 16.7% | 7.1% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Chi Kuan | 10.0% | 14.9% | 22.0% | 28.5% | 17.0% | 6.7% | 0.9% |
| Megan Graham | 2.3% | 2.3% | 5.8% | 10.5% | 28.1% | 31.8% | 19.2% |
| Noah Yoskowitz | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 4.3% | 11.3% | 20.0% | 60.5% |
| Gordon Budning | 2.0% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 11.0% | 23.2% | 35.3% | 19.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.