← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
2Queen's University1.89-0.35vs Predicted
-
3McGill University0.22+0.46vs Predicted
-
5Webb Institute0.46-1.83vs Predicted
-
6University of Toronto-1.29-0.63vs Predicted
-
8Queen's University0.87-5.24vs Predicted
-
11University of Toronto-1.38-5.57vs Predicted
-
12Penn State University-2.21-5.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.65Queen's University1.890.6%1st Place
-
3.46McGill University0.220.1%1st Place
-
3.17Webb Institute0.460.1%1st Place
-
5.37University of Toronto-1.290.0%1st Place
-
2.76Queen's University0.870.2%1st Place
-
5.43University of Toronto-1.380.0%1st Place
-
6.16Penn State University-2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Gittens | 57.9% | 25.9% | 10.5% | 5.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chi Kuan | 10.2% | 15.4% | 22.7% | 29.2% | 15.9% | 5.6% | 1.0% |
| Gokce Gomec | 11.3% | 21.4% | 26.3% | 24.6% | 12.8% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Megan Graham | 1.0% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 26.0% | 34.0% | 19.3% |
| Linor Berezin | 17.1% | 29.6% | 25.8% | 17.9% | 7.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Gordon Budning | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 9.7% | 24.9% | 33.2% | 22.7% |
| Noah Yoskowitz | 0.7% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 12.5% | 22.0% | 56.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.