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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.89+0.84vs Predicted
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2Queen's University1.49+0.16vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute0.46+0.35vs Predicted
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6McGill University0.22-2.38vs Predicted
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7University of Toronto-1.29-1.62vs Predicted
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10University of Toronto-1.38-4.52vs Predicted
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12Penn State University-2.21-5.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.84Queen's University1.890.5%1st Place
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2.16Queen's University1.490.3%1st Place
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3.35Webb Institute0.460.1%1st Place
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3.62McGill University0.220.1%1st Place
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5.38University of Toronto-1.290.0%1st Place
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5.48University of Toronto-1.380.0%1st Place
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6.17Penn State University-2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Gittens | 47.2% | 30.3% | 15.2% | 6.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Faurschou | 31.9% | 34.8% | 21.7% | 8.5% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gokce Gomec | 9.4% | 15.5% | 28.4% | 28.8% | 13.6% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| Chi Kuan | 8.1% | 12.5% | 22.9% | 30.5% | 18.7% | 6.4% | 0.9% |
| Megan Graham | 1.3% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 10.7% | 27.0% | 33.0% | 19.9% |
| Gordon Budning | 1.3% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 9.8% | 26.1% | 33.7% | 22.3% |
| Noah Yoskowitz | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 5.4% | 11.0% | 22.7% | 56.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.