← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Queen's University1.89+0.84vs Predicted
-
2Queen's University1.49+0.17vs Predicted
-
7McGill University0.22-3.39vs Predicted
-
8Webb Institute0.46-4.66vs Predicted
-
9University of Toronto-1.29-3.61vs Predicted
-
10University of Toronto-1.38-4.53vs Predicted
-
12Penn State University-2.21-5.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.84Queen's University1.890.5%1st Place
-
2.17Queen's University1.490.3%1st Place
-
3.61McGill University0.220.1%1st Place
-
3.34Webb Institute0.460.1%1st Place
-
5.39University of Toronto-1.290.0%1st Place
-
5.47University of Toronto-1.380.0%1st Place
-
6.18Penn State University-2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Gittens | 46.3% | 30.8% | 16.2% | 5.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Faurschou | 32.0% | 33.9% | 22.4% | 8.6% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Chi Kuan | 7.6% | 12.8% | 23.5% | 31.7% | 17.4% | 5.8% | 1.2% |
| Gokce Gomec | 10.4% | 16.4% | 26.0% | 28.4% | 14.0% | 4.4% | 0.4% |
| Megan Graham | 1.4% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 10.9% | 26.7% | 33.4% | 19.9% |
| Gordon Budning | 1.5% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 9.9% | 26.9% | 33.2% | 22.1% |
| Noah Yoskowitz | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 11.4% | 22.7% | 56.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.