Race 12B

lake-virginia-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Hank Seum 20.0% 17.9% 15.0% 14.2% 11.3% 9.0% 5.7% 4.0% 1.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Josh Becher 8.3% 7.6% 8.9% 9.7% 11.4% 10.2% 10.5% 9.2% 8.6% 7.0% 5.0% 3.0% 0.5%
Matthew King 20.8% 20.9% 17.1% 12.7% 10.8% 6.8% 5.2% 3.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Milo Miller 10.9% 11.2% 11.6% 11.8% 11.2% 12.0% 9.2% 8.3% 5.8% 4.5% 2.2% 1.1% 0.1%
Garrett Floerchinger 2.9% 3.1% 3.6% 4.1% 3.8% 5.7% 5.8% 9.0% 9.8% 11.3% 13.7% 14.4% 12.8%
Luke Justin 5.0% 5.8% 5.9% 6.5% 8.5% 9.4% 11.0% 10.3% 11.6% 9.2% 8.4% 5.9% 2.6%
Ghislaine van Empel 9.2% 9.2% 9.4% 10.8% 10.9% 11.8% 11.3% 8.6% 7.4% 5.8% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4%
Zi Burns 3.2% 3.3% 3.5% 4.2% 4.0% 5.1% 6.4% 8.3% 10.2% 11.2% 13.2% 13.5% 14.1%
Nathan Long 10.2% 10.1% 11.1% 11.4% 12.6% 10.1% 10.3% 8.6% 6.7% 4.8% 2.6% 1.3% 0.4%
Ella Lansford 3.3% 3.8% 4.7% 4.8% 5.1% 6.3% 7.2% 9.3% 10.5% 13.2% 11.8% 12.6% 7.4%
Zechariah Frantz 2.2% 2.5% 4.2% 3.4% 4.2% 6.6% 6.2% 7.9% 9.7% 11.8% 11.9% 14.9% 14.5%
Matthew Sexton 2.2% 2.6% 3.5% 4.0% 3.8% 4.5% 6.6% 7.4% 9.0% 11.2% 14.1% 14.2% 16.9%
Annslee Maloy 1.7% 2.0% 1.7% 2.4% 2.5% 2.8% 4.5% 5.9% 7.1% 9.0% 12.8% 17.7% 30.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.