Race 6 - cazenovia-fall-open | College Sailing Data

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

100.0%

Within 2 Positions

1.2

Avg Position Diff

4

Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

1

Zachary Warner & Marisa Freedman

Syracuse University

0.55

+1.39

vs Predicted
2

William Tower & Miranda Sannino

Cornell University

2.28

-0.67

vs Predicted
4

Kristoffer Olsen & Jieming Zhang

University of Rochester

0.67

-1.66

vs Predicted
5

Scott Thompson & Ally Diwik

Colgate University

-2.69

-1.07

vs Predicted

🎯 Predicted Standings

2.39

Zachary Warner & Marisa Freedman

Syracuse University

0.55

0.1%

1st Place
1.33

William Tower & Miranda Sannino

Cornell University

2.28

0.7%

1st Place
2.34

Kristoffer Olsen & Jieming Zhang

University of Rochester

0.67

0.1%

1st Place
3.93

Scott Thompson & Ally Diwik

Colgate University

-2.69

0.0%

1st Place

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper	1	2	3	4
Zachary Warner	13.7%	36.3%	46.9%	3.1%
William Tower	71.9%	23.5%	4.5%	0.1%
Kristoffer Olsen	14.2%	39.6%	43.8%	2.4%
Scott Thompson	0.2%	0.6%	4.8%	94.4%

Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.