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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.83+1.98vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.81-0.28vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.51+2.06vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-1.36+2.51vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.18-1.08vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University-0.27-1.26vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-0.40-1.97vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-1.63-1.12vs Predicted
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9Gonzaga University-2.69-0.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.98Western Washington University0.8318.5%1st Place
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1.72Western Washington University1.8153.4%1st Place
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5.06Western Washington University-0.514.7%1st Place
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6.51University of Oregon-1.362.0%1st Place
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3.92University of Washington0.189.7%1st Place
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4.74Oregon State University-0.275.3%1st Place
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5.03University of Oregon-0.404.6%1st Place
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6.88University of Oregon-1.631.1%1st Place
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8.16Gonzaga University-2.690.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Turloff | 18.5% | 25.7% | 22.1% | 16.9% | 9.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Leif Hauge | 53.4% | 29.4% | 11.2% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Morrow | 4.7% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 17.8% | 19.1% | 15.8% | 7.5% | 2.8% |
| Molly McLeod | 2.0% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 20.4% | 26.8% | 12.8% |
| Jaden Unruh | 9.7% | 14.1% | 19.5% | 19.8% | 16.4% | 11.8% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Cassius Tossavainen | 5.3% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 16.7% | 17.4% | 17.9% | 12.5% | 6.7% | 0.8% |
| Rowan Clinch | 4.6% | 7.2% | 11.7% | 15.4% | 17.0% | 18.5% | 15.0% | 9.0% | 1.5% |
| Emily Harding | 1.1% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 19.6% | 30.9% | 17.6% |
| Kevin McGann | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 8.1% | 16.4% | 64.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.