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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.15+0.49vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University0.02+0.36vs Predicted
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3University of Rochester-1.45+0.48vs Predicted
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5Colgate University-0.40-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.49Cornell University1.150.6%1st Place
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2.36Syracuse University0.020.2%1st Place
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3.48University of Rochester-1.450.1%1st Place
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2.68Colgate University-0.400.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Fowkes | 63.3% | 26.4% | 8.6% | 1.7% |
| Henry Sanders | 19.1% | 37.7% | 31.7% | 11.5% |
| Caroline Ware | 5.5% | 8.7% | 18.0% | 67.8% |
| Lindsay Burroughs | 12.1% | 27.2% | 41.7% | 19.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.