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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University0.02+1.32vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.15-0.52vs Predicted
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3University of Rochester-1.45+0.52vs Predicted
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5Colgate University-0.40-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.32Syracuse University0.020.2%1st Place
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1.48Cornell University1.150.6%1st Place
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3.52University of Rochester-1.450.1%1st Place
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2.68Colgate University-0.400.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Sanders | 20.6% | 37.1% | 31.8% | 10.5% |
| Alex Fowkes | 62.3% | 28.4% | 8.0% | 1.3% |
| Caroline Ware | 5.3% | 7.4% | 17.7% | 69.6% |
| Lindsay Burroughs | 11.8% | 27.1% | 42.5% | 18.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.