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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.83+1.98vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.81-0.21vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.18+0.97vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-1.36+2.51vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.510.00vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University-0.27-1.16vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-0.40-2.06vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-1.63-1.16vs Predicted
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9Gonzaga University-2.69-0.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.98Western Washington University0.8318.9%1st Place
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1.79Western Washington University1.8151.6%1st Place
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3.97University of Washington0.189.2%1st Place
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6.51University of Oregon-1.362.1%1st Place
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5.0Western Washington University-0.515.0%1st Place
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4.84Oregon State University-0.275.7%1st Place
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4.94University of Oregon-0.405.1%1st Place
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6.84University of Oregon-1.631.6%1st Place
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8.13Gonzaga University-2.690.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Turloff | 18.9% | 24.6% | 22.6% | 16.2% | 10.9% | 5.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Leif Hauge | 51.6% | 27.8% | 13.7% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jaden Unruh | 9.2% | 14.8% | 18.2% | 20.1% | 15.8% | 12.3% | 7.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Molly McLeod | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 20.2% | 27.7% | 12.4% |
| Anna Morrow | 5.0% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 16.0% | 17.8% | 15.5% | 8.8% | 2.2% |
| Cassius Tossavainen | 5.7% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 15.7% | 16.4% | 18.3% | 14.2% | 7.2% | 1.2% |
| Rowan Clinch | 5.1% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 15.6% | 18.8% | 17.1% | 16.0% | 6.6% | 1.8% |
| Emily Harding | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 11.5% | 18.1% | 31.5% | 17.6% |
| Kevin McGann | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 15.8% | 64.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.