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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.09+6.32vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.60+7.56vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+6.53vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.71+5.12vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.67+4.21vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.08+1.52vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.50+3.40vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.73+0.74vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.38+1.47vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.74-0.99vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-2.12vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.48-1.63vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.49-2.50vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.21-2.60vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.24-3.75vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.84-7.54vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21-5.77vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-3.04vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin2.08-3.09vs Predicted
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20SUNY Maritime College2.05-3.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.32College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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9.56Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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9.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.12Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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9.21U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.52Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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10.4Old Dominion University3.500.0%1st Place
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8.74Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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10.47Dartmouth College3.380.0%1st Place
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9.01Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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10.37Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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10.5Tufts University3.490.0%1st Place
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11.4Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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11.25Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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8.46University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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11.23St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.0%1st Place
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14.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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15.91University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
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16.14SUNY Maritime College2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Peschiera | 8.9% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Nick Sertl | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Martim Anderson | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Patrick Snow | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Ian Barrows | 7.5% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Charles Sinks | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Robert Floyd | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Will La Dow | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Ty Ingram | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| John Rolander | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 3.3% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 2.2% |
| Rachel Bryer | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Tara | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 2.6% |
| Connor Swikart | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 20.2% |
| Charles Bocklet | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 17.9% | 29.5% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 18.6% | 30.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.