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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+7.74vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+7.36vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.24+8.35vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.84+4.47vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.73+3.94vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.50+4.11vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.74+2.28vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston4.09-0.80vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.67+0.16vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21+1.44vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.38-0.29vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.49-1.64vs Predicted
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13Yale University4.08-5.24vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+0.82vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.60-5.40vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.48-5.91vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin2.08-1.10vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University3.71-8.82vs Predicted
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19SUNY Maritime College2.05-2.98vs Predicted
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20Connecticut College3.21-8.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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9.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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11.35Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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8.47University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.94Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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10.11Old Dominion University3.500.0%1st Place
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9.28Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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7.2College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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9.16U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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11.44St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.0%1st Place
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10.71Dartmouth College3.380.0%1st Place
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10.36Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.76Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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14.82Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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9.6Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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10.09Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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15.9University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
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9.18Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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16.02SUNY Maritime College2.050.0%1st Place
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11.52Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Ingram | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.3% |
| Rachel Bryer | 6.5% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Charles Sinks | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Will La Dow | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Snow | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Patrick Tara | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.3% |
| Robert Floyd | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| John Rolander | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Ian Barrows | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Connor Swikart | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 11.3% | 16.4% | 18.8% |
| Nick Sertl | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Charles Bocklet | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 19.5% | 27.6% |
| Martim Anderson | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 15.8% | 31.7% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.