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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+7.79vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.50+8.05vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+6.55vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.84+4.48vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.24+6.15vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.73+3.04vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.67+2.52vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston4.09-0.82vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.08-1.68vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.74-1.02vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.48-0.79vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21-0.34vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.38-2.01vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.49-3.90vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College3.21-3.66vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.60-6.45vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin2.08-1.08vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University3.71-8.76vs Predicted
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19Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-4.22vs Predicted
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20SUNY Maritime College2.05-3.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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10.05Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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9.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.48University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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11.15Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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9.04Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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9.52U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.18College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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7.32Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.98Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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10.21Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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11.66St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.0%1st Place
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10.99Dartmouth College3.380.0%1st Place
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10.1Tufts University3.490.0%1st Place
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11.34Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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9.55Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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15.92University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
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9.24Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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14.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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16.14SUNY Maritime College2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Ingram | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% |
| Nikole Barnes | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Rachel Bryer | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Ravi Parent | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 2.6% |
| Charles Sinks | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Patrick Snow | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Ian Barrows | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Will La Dow | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Patrick Tara | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 3.1% |
| Robert Floyd | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| John Rolander | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% |
| Nick Sertl | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Charles Bocklet | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 18.3% | 27.9% |
| Martim Anderson | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Connor Swikart | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 12.1% | 17.2% | 17.3% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 16.9% | 31.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.